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Channel: August 2021 – Probably Overthinking It
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Bayesian Dice

This article is available in a Jupyter notebook: click here to run it on Colab. I’ve been enjoying Aubrey Clayton’s new book Bernoulli’s Fallacy. The first chapter, which is about the historical...

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COVID-19 and the Inspection Paradox

The inspection paradox (aka length-biased sampling) is one of my favorite topics, and it turns out to be useful in the fight against COVID-19. During the pandemic, you have probably heard about about...

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Factors of Underrepresentation

I recently encountered a 2009 paper by Ceci, Williams, and Barnett, “Women’s underrepresentation in science: sociocultural and biological considerations”, which lists in the abstract these “factors...

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